It is no secret that the aggravation of the situation around Iran, at the beginning of this year miraculously managed to avoid the "big war" between this country and the United States, calls into question the supply of the 102nd Russian military base in Armenia in Gyumri.

Recall that in the context of the breakdown of diplomatic relations between Russia and Georgia, the main supply of this military base goes through Iran and the Iranian-Armenian border section on the Araks River. The “big war” in fact means that the Russian group in Armenia is automatically cut off from Russia. Moreover, she will find herself in a hostile environment, since the Pashinyan regime in Yerevan is “pro-American to disgrace”.

The chances that US-Iranian relations will improve and war will be critically few will be avoided. As a result, the Russian army has never in its history found itself in such an ambiguous situation as it is now formally seemingly “allied”, but in fact hostile to Armenia. The satellite that became the country that could spark the “big war” is the United States.

The Russian army at the 102nd base in fact as hostages. So far, with the possibility of "escaping" from the hostages through Iran, leaving Pashinyan himself to deal with neighbors. But this opportunity will “collapse” in the event of a “big war”.

And there are big fears that Russia will have to redeem a high price for the "release from hostages" of its 102nd base, i.e. fight for those who in fact have already betrayed Russia.

Moreover, Russia is already beginning to push towards such a scenario. Otherwise, it is difficult to name Stanislav Tarasov’s material “The Russian defense line may return to Araks” recently published on the Regnum pro-Armenian resource (https://regnum.ru/news/polit/2834958.html):

“The start by the Americans of the operation “The Fall of Iran” can bring Russia to Araks and contribute to its consolidation on this historic border. This will be a forced decision. But destabilization in Iran will lead to a mass of difficultly predicted events, including a drop in the barrier that holds back the expansion of ISIS supporters,” writes Stanislav Tarasov.

Tarasov really does not specify what kind of ISIS can be in Shiite Iran. But most likely this is a "justification for propaganda" of Russia's need to attend Araks.

The question arises: how can the “line of defense return to Araks” if the Russian group on the territory of the Republic of Armenia is in blockade, which will become complete with the outbreak of war in Iran. It turns out that Araks should become a “line of defense”; it needs to “punch a corridor” through a country that borders both Russia and Armenia.

Therefore, the direction of this corridor is implied “by default” - Georgia. The very one that the Armenian nationalists “share” on all their maps without exception, and which in fact organized separatism in Abkhazia and Tskhinvali, with the occupation of 20% of the territory of Georgia and ethnic cleansing of the Georgian population. Not only that, in fact, separatist Abkhazia has already become Armenian, separatism is being fanned from Yerevan in the Samtskhe-Jvakheti region (in the terminology of Armenian nationalists “Javakhk”).

It is also interesting how the publication lragir.am, which was close to the current regime in Yerevan, reacted to the above Regnum material in the article “Russian troops at Araks: what Russia is preparing for” (https://www.lragir.am/ru/2020/01/22/164810/):

“An analytical agency close to the Kremlin, for example, speaking of an aggravation of relations between Iran and the USA, warns that“ the United States fears that the start of the operation “The Fall of Iran” will lead Russia not only to the country's first line of defense, but also lead to its consolidation on lines of historical borders along Araks.

This is not the first time that military units have been deployed on Araks. More important is the mention of the “historical boundaries” of Araks. This is the border of the USSR with Turkey and Iran. One part of them is controlled by the Armenian army and Russian border guards and the 102nd base, the rest passes along the perimeter of Artsakh and Nakhichevan.

According to the Kremlin’s perception, this segment can in no way be considered a “historical border,” since, contrary to the situation in 1921, this segment was controlled by Armenia and the Republic of Azerbaijan, but not Russia.

The border was determined by the Russian-Turkish agreement of 1921, by which Nakhichevan was alienated from Armenia and transferred under the protectorate of Baku - with the status under the guarantees of Russia and Turkey...

In the event of a “fall” of Iran, thus, it becomes possible to revise this part of the region. The question is: will the Russian-Turkish treaty of 1921 not registered in the UN register be revised?

Whatever the answer to this question, in order not to taste the fruits of the “foreign hangover” and the new Russian-Turkish alliance, Yerevan should declare a clear position on the Akhuryan-Araks border, including Nakhichevan, and the status of the 102nd Russian base. Previous statuses are incompatible and unacceptable.”

A publication close to Pashinyan says in almost direct text that Russia must trample international treaties. And that means to fight for Armenian interests ... Among which, of course, a revision of the borders of 1921.

The “corridor” through Georgia is not directly mentioned, but it is implied. Otherwise, the question is, how will the Russian army "gain a foothold on Araks" without land supply?

And of course, after the Russians “break through” the corridor for Armenia with their blood and win more territories for “great Armenia”, they will be asked to come back. This is not even hidden, the hint about the "status of the 102nd Russian base" is very transparent. But the “argument”, which, according to the plans of the Yerevan “strategists”, will force the Russian army to do away with the “black job” for Yerevan, will be the troops of the “new owner of Armenia”. Those. US occupying Iran on the other side of Araks.

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