There are new circumstantial confirmations that another geopolitical adventure against Georgia is going to be carried out through the so-called "union state". Only not "Russia and Belarus", but "Armenia, Russia and Belarus".

The first time the so-called "union state of Russia and Belarus" was announced by puppet puppet president of Abkhazia Aslan Bzhania. All sensible people understood perfectly well that annexation of Abkhazia is expected through the "union state". And at that it will happen very quickly. This was confirmed by recent events in relation to the occupied territories of Ukraine. We should remind that after the so-called "referendum" of the Russian Federation the Kremlin propaganda started to talk about the intention to "annex" occupied territories of Donetsk, Lugansk, Kherson and Zaporozhye regions of Ukraine only on September 18-19th, 2022. And then everything went on rapidly: "referendums" on joining Russia are announced in the occupied territories, on 21 September, Russian President Vladimir Putin makes an address stating his intention to join the occupied territories to Russia based on the results of the referendums" and announces mobilization in the Russian Federation. On 23-27 September, the so-called 'referendums' take place, and on 30 September 2022 the inclusion of the occupied territories into Russia has already taken place.

It is very likely that in exactly the same way, if anything, Abkhazia will be annexed. But whose interests it will be in is the most interesting question. And here in the last week something is beginning to become clear.

They want to annex Abkhazia to Armenia no less, which at the same time intends to be included in the so-called "union state". Except that Armenia's role in this union state, given the dominance of the Armenian lobby in the Russian political sphere, will not be the last.  Russia will simply be a tool of the Armenian lobby, a supplier of cannon fodder for "Great Armenian" interests.

Another newspaper, Armenian Times, with close ties to the family of Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, has reported that a plan for a "union state" with Armenian participation is being worked out. The chief editor of the newspaper is Anna Hakobyan, wife of Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan.

This newspaper reported that Russia was forcing Armenia to join the Union State and that the aggravation on the Armenian-Azerbaijani border was allegedly linked to this. Citing a "reliable source" (and what could be more reliable than the husband of the chief reactor, who is leading the negotiations?), the publication claimed, in particular, that Russia wants from Armenia "the same thing it wants from Ukraine" - to become part of the Russia-Belarus Union State or part of Russia.

Pashinian's own reluctance to "join" the union state is understandable. As a de facto US protégé, he would then be 100% removed from power, handing it over to pro-Russian revanchists.

Apparently, the publication immediately displeased Moscow as an "undesirable leak of information". The Kremlin called the information on Armenia's possible accession to the Union State "nonsense". As a result, Yerevan "backtracked".

In particular, Russian speaker of the Armenian parliament Alain Simonyan refuted the information about "forcing Armenia into the Union state", stating that "...discussions on Armenia's joining the Union state of Russia and Belarus are not held because "Armenia's independence and its sovereignty cannot be discussed". At the same time, Simonyan expressed doubts about the "credibility" of the newspaper source. What is it? A hint at the possible disagreement of some representatives of the Armenian authorities with Pashinian's position? It is quite possible.

The thing is that Moscow's proposals for a "union state" may well cause some controversy even within the current pro-Western Yerevan leadership. It is already clear that the Kremlin intends to give Armenia a "supplement" to the "union state" that the Armenian nationalists could never have dreamt of before. The point is that instead of participation in the "union state"". Armenia may receive Georgian Abkhazia from Russia. One might argue that this is nonsense and fantasy?

On the part of the separatists in Sukhumi work to annex Abkhazia through the union state is already well underway.  The so-called "foreign minister of Abkhazia" who is known as an "errand boy" to representatives of the Armenian lobby, in particular, Sergei Lavrov-Kalantaryan and Margarita Simonyan is already fussing.  Inal Ardzinba recently held a meeting with state secretary of the union state of Russia and Belarus Dmitry Mezentsev at the end of which "Abkhazian foreign minister" stressed that "Abkhazia is interested in studying the experience of the union state as an effective integration platform.

In an interview with Russian journalist Vladimir Solovyov, Alexander Lukashenko said back in February 2022 that other post-Soviet republics could join the Union State of Belarus and Russia. At the same time, referring to Armenia, the Belarusian leader made statements that caused resentment in Armenian society. "Armenia has nowhere to go, do you think anybody needs them? They have already seen it - Nikol Vovayevich (Pashinyan) has seen it," he claimed at the time.

The reason for the recent illegal visit of President Alexander Lukashenko to the separatist Abkhazia also becomes clear. The near-Kremlin Armenian lobby and Armenian nationalists from the Karabakh clan appear to have devised a complex and multi-pronged operation involving a change of power in Armenia, aggression against Georgia and the occupation of most Georgian territory, as well as connecting Armenia by a military corridor with occupied Abkhazia and annexing Abkhazia, with its "inclusion in a union state" either simultaneously with or immediately after Armenia.

The tone in Abkhazia will no longer be set by Russians, but by Armenians as participants, and formally equal participants, in the "union state". All the more that ethnic Armenians already constitute an absolute majority in Abkhazia and far outnumber Abkhazians themselves. And the status of annexed Abkhazia in the "union state" may well be quickly downgraded to "autonomy within Armenia".

Moreover, a handout in the form of annexed Abkhazia will be compensation to those of Russophobic Armenian nationalists who categorically do not want to see the Karabakh clan and its revanchists in power again. The revanchists are asked 'what will an alliance with Russia do for Armenia if we are only losing territory to Russia so far?

However, if, instead of Karabakh, the revanchists offer Abkhazia as a new "maritime Armenia" to an Armenian society infected with nationalism, even the most fanatical supporters of "miasma" will forget about "Artsakh". After all, Abkhazia, which the Russian occupants will present to Armenian nationalists "on a silver platter", is much more attractive geographically and in terms of climate and the presence of the sea than Karabakh.

Obviously, the Armenian lobby has a goal - the intention to realize the age-old dream of access to the sea through a union state. In the meantime they are trying to open rail transit through Abkhazia to Armenia.

Giorgi Kvinitadze