ANALYTICS
07.01.20 15:40
The situation with the confrontation between the USA and Iran is aggravated. Iran has declared a full exit from all restrictions that existed in relation to its nuclear program. This is nothing more than a direct threat to Iran to begin developing a military program whose goal is the creation of nuclear weapons.
However, according to experts, even when leaving the nuclear program, it is impossible to quickly create nuclear weapons using only the uranium enrichment facilities in Iran. It will take years.
There is a possibility that Iran has an “accelerated option” to create nuclear weapons. And you can guess which one.
Out of the control of the world, the community is the Metsamor or Armenian nuclear power plant in the Republic of Armenia. There is also a mass of indirect data that Tehran used, in agreement with the Yerevan regime, the power of this nuclear power plant (which, like almost all Soviet nuclear facilities, has a “dual-purpose” - energy and military) to obtain enriched nuclear materials.
It is clear that even with nuclear weapons, Iran will not inflict severe harm on the United States by definition - the forces are not comparable. Yes, and Iran does not have the means of their "delivery" overseas. But the danger of fueling a “nuclear winter of a regional scale” will increase sharply. Moreover, in the region, there is already one country possessing nuclear weapons, Israel, which is clearly on the US side in the current conflict.
In this regard, the behavior of the Yerevan regime is causing increasing concern. Today, despite all the “peacekeeping” statements by the Prime Minister of Armenia, Nikol Pashinyan, it is obvious that Armenia, on the one hand, has come under the “wing of the United States, but on the other, is interested in fomenting a“ big war ”. Especially considering the “double” and even “triple play” of the authorities of Yerevan.
In order to initiate a large-scale “redrawing of borders” in the region.
Iran’s possession of nuclear weapons could make this war almost irreversible. And it is quite possible - "in a nuclear format."
Thus, in the conditions of a sharp aggravation of the situation in the Near and Middle East, the Metsamor NPP is becoming the most dangerous facility. And not to mention the fact that during the “big war”, even non-nuclear, missiles tend to deviate from predetermined trajectories. And where is the guarantee that some of the same American missiles "intended" for Iran will not deviate from the course and fall on Metsamor?
At the same time, one gets the impression that Armenia is not averse to “foment a great war”, but in such a way that they themselves formally at the first stage stay away. So, in an interview with the Armenian publication VERELQ, the Armenian military historian, political scientist, Doctor of Political Sciences Armen Ayvazyan, stated that he did not exclude a full-scale war. “This is very possible, especially judging by the latest threats from the lips of the US president,” Ayvazyan noted.
Of course, the goal of the Yerevan regime is to provoke or in some other way so that the war, first of all, offends the neighbors of Armenia. The same Armen Ayvazyan, in particular, stated that in the heat of hostilities, "if Iran finally convinces itself of the hostility of Azerbaijan" (and the Armenian provocateurs will "convince him of this - there is no doubt"), then taking advantage of the opportunity, their missile forces he can destroy the entire oil industry of Azerbaijan.
In Yerevan, they hope very much to bring problems, in the event of war, to Georgia, in particular, refugees, whom they can "oust and pass in transit" through their territory to Georgia.
“There is a possibility of an influx of refugees from Iran to the territory of both Armenia and Azerbaijan, as well as through them to the territory of Georgia,” Ayvazyan predicts.
But the fact of the matter is that if the “big war” touches the Metsamor NPP, then the entire South Caucasus will become unsuitable for living not only for refugees but also for its population. And in such circumstances, the issue of international control over the Metsamor NPP, as well as its immediate closure, becomes a matter of the commonplace survival of people in the South Caucasus.
KavkazPlus
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