Recently, in Russia, the leadership of the Southern Military District reported on building up military capabilities in the occupied Georgian territories.on building up military capabilities in the occupied Georgian territories.
In recent years, about 150 units of the latest weapons, military, and special equipment have been delivered to units of the Russian military base of the Southern Military District (Southeast Military District) in Abkhazia as part of the re-equipment of troops with modern models of military equipment. According to the press service of the Southern Military District, today the share of modern models of military equipment in the base is more than 80%.
Among the new products are Tiger-M armored vehicles of the GAZ brand, T-72B3 tanks, BTR-82AM armored personnel carriers, REM-KL automated repair and evacuation vehicles, Leer-2 mobile electronic warfare systems and other all-wheel-drive armies multi-purpose armored vehicles.
The use of modern weapons and military hardware in the course of combat training allows units to more effectively solve assigned combat missions, say in the South Military District.
A logical question immediately arises - is there really such a “terrible” threat on the part of Georgia to Russia that it is necessary to sharply strengthen the military group in Abkhazia? Many analysts are paying attention to this.
Thus, by all indications, certain circles in the Kremlin are preparing for an offensive war ... But the question remains, why is Russia doing this? If the already occupied Abkhazia and the Tskhinvali region give nothing but expenditures for the budget and a “headache”.
Of course, the interests of Russia and the Russian people are not even mentioned in the ongoing occupation of Abkhazia and the Tskhinvali region. But there is interest in the powerful Armenian lobby, which has already made Abkhazia “Armenian”. And whose highest-ranking representative in the Russian Federation, Sergey Lavrov (Kalantarov), is already openly seen as the "successor" of the current president, Vladimir Putin.
In particular, the name of Lavrov appears in the list of “potential successors” in the recently published material “Medvedev, Shoigu, or Lavrov may become President’s successors in the presidential election” (https://apral.ru/2019/12/06/preemnikami-prezidenta-putina -na-vyborah-prezidenta-mogut-stat-medvedev-shojgu-ili-lavrov.html)
In this case, the buildup of the military group of the Russian Federation in the occupied territories of Georgia immediately acquires logic.
It is quite possible to transfer power from Putin to Lavrov-Kalantarov in the wake of "cheers of patriotism" caused by another "small victorious war."
Recall that Vladimir Putin himself became president in the wake of such a “boom” during the war in Chechnya. And the 2008 war sharply raised the popularity of the then “President" of the Russian Federation Dmitry Medvedev. And it is quite possible that the transfer of power in Russia from Putin to Kalantarov will be accompanied by another aggression against Georgia.
at the same time, Kalantarov will solve several problems at once. Firstly, it breaks through the “corridor” to Armenia under blockade through Georgian territory. Secondly, under the cover of "cheers-patriotic hysteria" in Russia, he can "bargain" with Russian lands. As in the wake of anti-Georgian hysteria, once in Russia they already “quietly” surrendered the border islands on the Amur and Ussuri rivers to China.
This time, under the guise of a “victory over Georgia,” Kalantarov could well give the Kuril Islands “for a round sum” to Japan. And not only them.
The fact that Kalantarov is seen as Putin’s successor also probably explains in many respects the ongoing “patronage” of the Kremlin to the Pashinyan regime that is clearly hostile to Russia. Apparently, certain forces in the Russian “fifth column” are simply planning a kind of “gradual surrender of Russia to the West” through its Armenian puppets. Well, the patriots of Russia will be lulled at the same time by "great victories over Georgia."