The developments in Ukraine are moving swiftly. The "reduction in activity" of Russian occupation troops in Kyiv and Chernihiv regions announced by Vladimir Medinsky, head of the Russian delegation to the Istanbul talks on 29 March 2022, actually turned into a flight of occupiers from these Ukrainian regions.

On March 30 and 31, 2022, Russian troops were forced to withdraw from the outskirts of Kiev, where they had been "entrenched" for more than a month.

As a result, the shelling of the Ukrainian capital ceased completely - Russian artillery no longer "reaches" Kiev. And missiles and aircraft are shot down by the Ukrainian air defence.  In the following days, on 1 and 2 April 2022, huge columns of Russian equipment, suffering heavy losses, hurriedly moved towards the border leaving the Chernihiv and Sumy regions, attacked by Ukrainian Armed Forces units. Although Russian propaganda speaks of a "regrouping of troops", there is a clear military defeat.

The Kremlin propaganda urgently needs to present the Russian public with some "victories" on other fronts. Especially at a time when the war in Ukraine is dragging on and Russia is heading for a military disaster. And then, apparently, the Kremlin remembered its puppets - the Tskhinvali and Sukhumi separatists and the fact that they, in 2008, "brilliantly won a small victory". They "brilliantly defeated" little Georgia in 2008. Against the background of defeats in Ukraine it is high time to recall this "victory".

Therefore, the leader of the Tskhinvali separatists Anatoly Bibilov clearly "following orders from his masters" announced that a so-called "referendum" on so-called "joining" of the separatist South Ossetia to Russia was in the making. Things are moving towards annexation of the occupied Georgian region by Russia.

An instruction was given to Sukhumi separatists to show initiative of "uniting with Russia". The separatist leaders were probably told about this by the Kremlin propagandists Margarita Simonyan and her husband Tigran Keosyan who recently visited Abkhazia. But the puppet so-called "president" Aslan Bzhania, who is just as hated by his own people, never dared to announce this.

Semyon Bagdasarov, one of the influential representatives of the Armenian lobby that is the main initiator of Russia's annexation of Abkhazia and the Tskhinvali region, did it for him. He clearly hinted that the separatists owe everything to the Russian Federation, which recognized their "independence" and fully provides and feeds them:

Semyon Bagdasarov's desire to annex Abkhazia to Russia is understandable. After all, in this case, quite a large "maritime Armenia" will be formed, which includes the Black Sea coast of Krasnodar Krai of Russia, where in many areas Armenians are already a majority, and Abkhazia, where the percentage of Armenians also exceeds the percentage of Abkhazians and is rapidly growing.

Senator Andrei Klimov of the ruling party United Russia, almost in sync with Bibilov declared his support for the referendum on inclusion of so-called "South Ossetia" into the Russian Federation and announced further dismemberment of Georgia. In particular, he said that Adjara, following the example of South Ossetia and Abkhazia, may express a desire to break away from Georgia. Here, the hand of the "Armenian lobby" can be seen with the naked eye.

As a reminder, Adjara borders the Georgian region of Samtskhe-Javkheti, which is claimed by Armenian nationalists as "the original Armenian Javakhk". A 'corridor' for Armenia to the Black Sea through Samtskhe-Javkheti and Adjara is emerging. It is naturally planned to be "cut through" with Russian bayonets.

However, defeats of Russian aggressors in Ukraine can make adjustments in these plans for dismemberment of Georgia. And in reality, residents of Tskhinvali region and Abkhazia, especially Ossetians and Abkhazians, have already lost "enthusiasm" for possible inclusion into the Russian Federation. For good reason - their young people are already being taken to the war in Ukraine.

But becoming a part of the Russian Federation threatens these occupied Georgian regions with total mobilization of the entire male population and sending them to the "Ukrainian front". Or to other fronts that the Kremlin regime decides to open.

Recently, however, not very happy news for Abkhazians and Ossetians have been coming from Ukraine. Back on March 30th, 2022 during a counterattack near Kiev, the Ukrainian military eliminated a group of Russian occupants from Abkhazia - a unit of the 7th Military Base of the Russian Armed Forces stationed in the occupied territory of Georgia in Gudauta. The destruction of this unit, which included a significant part of Abkhazians and Abkhaz Armenians in particular, was reported on Facebook by the "Vostok" task force of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

Also the personnel of one of the battalion tactical groups of the 4th military base of the Russian armed forces in the Tskhinvali region, consisting of ethnic Ossetians, refused to fight in Ukraine and returned home in their full strength of approximately 300 people. It is unlikely that these soldiers will vote in a referendum for their homeland to be part of an aggressive power, whose leadership was going to throw them "into slaughter" for completely unknown to the Ossetian people objectives in distant Ukraine.

It is obvious that the Armenian lobby is trying to incorporate the occupied Georgian lands into the Russian Federation in order to make the process of partition of Georgia irreversible. However, the time of separatism and redrawing of borders is over. And the sad fate of the unscathed "Artsakh" separatists is the most telling example.

Until the complete expulsion of the remnants of "Artsakh" gangs from the Azerbaijani land, apparently, there are not 3.5 years before the moment when Russian peacekeepers must leave the region, but much less. Particularly given the problems with the complementarity of Russian peacekeepers in Azerbaijani Karabakh, which the same Kremlin is now forced to redeploy "to the Ukrainian front". The Russian Federation simply no longer has the resources to maintain its influence in all corners of the post-Soviet space and to impose its policies there.

Kavkazplus