ANALYTICS

In Armenia, they began to prepare a border review and war with Georgia simultaneously with the introduction of the state of emergency

30.03.20 14:05


On March 16, the same day that an epidemic was announced in the Republic of Armenia in connection with the coronavirus epidemic, it announced the start of collecting signatures for a petition requiring the annulment of the Moscow and Kars treaties, the centenary of which will be executed next year.

 

This coincidence is not accidental, especially since the petition was informed not somewhere, but on the website Lragir.am, close to Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, in the article “No to the Russian-Turkish Treaties of 1921: a collection of signatures and a series of nationwide shares begin” (https: //www.lragir.am/ru/2020/03/16/168786/?fbclid=IwAR0dRUQdyto_R3eoUSnQa3uhXDZ6QDZ1zXkB0JQ_yHmHmRGQ7j62e9WzcUQ)

 

We provide the text from this information:

 

“In a year, March 16, 2021, the 100th anniversary of the signing of the Moscow Treaty will be celebrated. The agreement, which, without the participation of representatives of the Armenian people, determined the fate of the Armenian people and their historical homeland, putting it into the wind of political conspiracy. The treaty, which can be attributed to the most unjust, humiliating, unprecedentedly cruel acts against the Armenian people.

 

The parties to the “friendship and brotherhood agreement” - Kemalist Turkey and Bolshevik Russia, taking advantage of the difficult situation of the Armenian people, having entered into a criminal conspiracy, dismembered and captured most of the range of the Armenian people, leaving only a tenth of their historical homeland to the Armenian people...

 

Political League
03/16/2020
Yerevan".

 

The fact that the initiative of the Armenian “political league” is not at all random and is supported at the highest level is evidenced by the following material devoted to this topic under the eloquent heading: “Kars-Ardagan and Ararat should be returned to Armenia, but first - Nakhichevan” (https://www.lragir.am/ru/2020/03/16/168855/?fbclid=IwAR1FE7mnEIJcpmz-1NeVT0SF7AinkKrVPTim1thQA8s8ehIsqaZH211Jtdk).

 

The question arises, why do politicians in Yerevan need this and what does it give them and what are they counting on?

 

To begin with, the current borders in the South Caucasus are determined precisely by the Moscow and Kars treaties. There are simply no other international treaties that would regulate modern internationally recognized borders in the region.

 

Thus, if these treaties are called into question, then all borders are immediately called into question. It would seem that it is clear that, first of all, Armenia will try to revise its border with Turkey and Azerbaijan, which is directly stated in the mentioned article. But it’s not so simple here.

 

It is clear that no one will voluntarily give the Turkish and Azerbaijani lands claimed by the Armenian nationalists to them. And despite the brave slogans and demands to return Armenia to Nakhichevan and the so-called “western Armenia” (eastern Turkey), no one will give up these lands to Armenia. And by force, they take into account the state of the Armenian army, by definition, will not work.

 

However, it is much more interesting than after the denunciation of the Moscow and Kars treaties of 1921, an opportunity arises for Armenia to acquire those lands for which it seems to have no obvious claims.

 

The fact is that these agreements define the border between Georgia and Turkey and emphasize the status of such territories as Adjara with the city of Batumi and Samtskhe Javakheti as Georgian territories. Such attention to these lands is not accidental.

 

Recall that according to the Brest Peace Treaty, concluded in March 1918 before the declaration of independence of Georgia, these lands ceded from Russia to the Ottoman Empire. And the independent Georgian state formed in May 1918 agreed with this agreement. Until the time when Turkey and Germany were defeated in the First World War, these lands were controlled by the Ottoman Empire. Then, after the end of the First World War, the status of these lands was not immediately settled by international treaties. But Dashnak Armenia immediately began to claim Samtskhe-Javakheti and this caused the Armenian-Georgian war at the end of 1918. Batumi at the same time came under British occupation and the British later reluctantly ceded this strategically important city of Georgia (the Armenian lobby intrigued to give it to Armenia, but did not have a “corridor” to it)).

 

The status of Adjara and Samtskhe-Javkheti, as well as the border between the Republic of Turkey and the Georgian Democratic Republic, were not regulated before the occupation of Georgia by the Soviet army. The reason for this was the actual dual power in Turkey - the Sultan government in Istanbul rested only on the bayonets of the British occupying the city (it was it that signed the Treaty of Sevres), and the Ataturk government in Ankara, which controlled most of Turkey, has not yet received international recognition.

 

Those. by 1920, the status of Adzharia and Samtskhe-Javakheti was “suspended” and the Armenian side did everything to enable them to claim these lands after the conclusion of the Sevres Treaty (in the signing of which Georgia did not participate and therefore could not defend its interests).

 

Only by the Moscow and Kars treaties did Turkey guarantee the territorial affiliation of Samtskhe-Javakheti and Adjara with Batumi Georgia.

 

Now imagine what happens if you terminate these contracts. The status of Adjara and Samtskhe-Javakheti again “hangs in a vacuum”. Just around this, Armenian nationalists like to hysteria. According to their “horror stories”, they say Turkey could return to the same Brest Treaty. But that agreement was canceled and for a long time. And if we return to it, then, in theory, Turkey should give back all of Syria, Iraq, Palestine, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait and almost the entire Arabian peninsula.

 

Moreover, the border between Turkey and Georgia has long been delimited and Turkey recognizes the territorial affiliation of Georgia and Adjara, and Samtskhe-Javakheti. But after the denunciation of the Moscow and Kars treaties, there is no doubt - almost instantly the Republic of Armenia will cease to recognize the territorial affiliation of these lands of Georgia.

 

That is, from the Armenian point of view, both Samtskhe-Jivakheti and Adjara immediately become "no man." And, as it is known precisely on Samtskhe-Dzhevakheti, the Armenian nationalists have long-standing claims, and they do not call this territory “the original Armenian“ Javakhk ”.

 

It is no coincidence that the Armenian side in every possible way postpones the beginning of the process of demarcation and the Armenian-Georgian border. Moreover, the “idea of ​​fixation” among Armenian nationalists is to break a corridor to the sea and get a port on it. After all, when the Sevres treaty was being prepared, the Armenians specifically demanded special rights for themselves in the port of Batumi, even though they received access to the sea and almost the entire Trabzon province under the Sevres treaty. However, the railway was not laid to Trabzon, but it was to Batumi.

 

Thus, the main goal becomes clear, because of which the Armenian side launched a campaign to revise the Moscow and Kars treaties. First of all, this is the possibility of aggression against Georgia and the capture of Samtskhe-Javakheti, where there are very strong separatist sentiments among the local Armenian population and Adjara.

 

Historical experience shows that Armenia undertakes aggression at the first opportunity.

 

So, for example, it was at the end of 1918. When the issue of border territories between Armenia and Georgia turned out to be in limbo due to the withdrawal of German and Turkish troops from the southern Caucasus. So it was in 1992-1993 when the Armenian lobby fanned the war in Abkhazia and carried out genocide and ethnic cleansing of the Georgian population with the hands of the separatists and the Russian army.

 

So it can be now even in the case of the slightest destabilization in the region of the South Caucasus or Georgia.

 

After all, one must face the truth: the situation in connection with the coronavirus epidemic for Georgia itself is very complicated. Tourism has ceased as such. It is clear that a tremendous blow will be dealt with by the economy. In Georgia, tens of thousands of people will lose their jobs and livelihoods. Additionally, tens of thousands of people who were earning money abroad, but lost their jobs there due to the economic crisis provoked by the epidemic of coronavirus, will return to their homeland. And at home, they are unlikely to find work.

 

As a result, in the coming months, a critical mass of disadvantaged and embittered people will appear in Georgia who will have nothing to do and nowhere to find at least some kind of income. And this is an ideal environment to rekindle internal conflicts and instability. In the same case, Armenian provocateurs are masters.

 

It is not by chance that the employees of the Armenian special services were detained by Georgian law enforcement agencies last summer in an attempt to illegally seize. In addition, the Armenian provocateurs how they can stir up inter-ethnic, inter-religious contradictions in Georgia to quarrel Georgia with friendly Azerbaijan and Turkey.

 

If international treaties guaranteeing the inviolability of the southern borders of Georgia will be canceled, then any provocations and then armed aggression of the Armenian army is possible. Moreover, the explosive region of Samtskhe-Javkheti with a separatist underground has long been literally crammed with weapons, monuments to separatist militants are erected here, and they are only waiting for a signal for a separatist rebellion.

 

Georgia should be attentive to the actions of the Armenian authorities aimed at denouncing the Moscow and Kars treaties. Since this poses a direct threat to the security and territorial integrity of Georgia. Especially when you consider that Armenia continues to support the separatists in Abkhazia and Tskhinvali and hinders their de-occupation and the return of Georgian refugees.

 

 

 

KavkazPlus

 

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