New evidence suggests that the Kremlin not only wishes to restore its rule in Yerevan, but also plans to dismember Georgia in the process. This is particularly significant since revanchists and "Artsakh" separatists, who fled from Azerbaijani Karabakh, are still holding out hope for such an outcome.
The recent interview with Robert Kocharyan, the pro-Kremlin former President of Armenia, should be viewed in this light. Robert Kocharyan did not heavily criticise Nikol Pashinyan but instead emphasised the union between Armenia and Russia. He expressed his support for preserving the USSR and Karabakh in conjunction with the USSR during the "miatsum" movement in the late 1980s.
It appears that his Kremlin handlers have given him a new tactical approach. The earlier endeavour to exploit the loss of Karabakh was unsuccessful. Moscow is seeking to fortify the groundwork for establishing a political entity in Armenia centred on the notion of "reunifying with the Russian Federation". Given the absence of a shared border between Armenia and Russia, it is reasonable to infer that Georgia may be "sacrificed" to achieve this "reunification".
There is nothing significantly new in the "reincarnation of the USSR". Kocharian, together with his patrons in Moscow, merely recalled the past. In fact, when rallies in Khankendi began in support of "myatsum", the USSR's leadership in Moscow was approached to "redraw" borders within the Union framework. There were no requests for "independent Armenia", even in conjunction with "Artsakh". These appeals concerning "Artsakh" were coordinated with the KGB of the USSR and the Central Committee of the CPSU.
Requests for "status" of the autonomous republic at separatist rallies in Tskhinvali were also communicated to Moscow. Similarly, the separatist rally in the Abkhazian village of Lykhny with demands to grant Abkhazia "status of a union republic" was initiated by the Kremlin with an address directed towards the Kremlin. For clarity, at the beginning of separatism, no mention was made of independence.
The focus was solely on reestablishing the USSR. During the lead-up to the collapse of the USSR, the Kremlin itself was responsible for initiating separatism in Karabakh, which in turn drove separatist initiatives in Abkhazia and Samachablo. However, today, these same separatist initiatives will be utilized to draw Armenia back into the Kremlin's sphere of influence, with the ultimate goal of resurrecting Artsakh, which has now become a distant memory.
Robert Kocharyan has temporarily halted his criticism of Pashinian. However, pro-Kremlin Hay nationalists and revanchists, who oppose the power of Nikol Pashinyan, have now extended their struggle beyond the borders of the Republic of Armenia.
On 24th November 2023, during a live broadcast, Pashinyan was asked whether Armenia was ready to recognise Abkhazia and so-called "South Ossetia" as occupied territories. He responded by stating that "we unequivocally and fully support the unity, sovereignty, territorial integrity, independence and democracy of Georgia".
This stance is significant as it reveals the animosity of Hay nationalists, particularly those who are "pro-Kremlin", towards Georgia's statehood and territorial integrity. However, those Hayes residing in Armenia and needing to travel through Georgia found it tactful to refrain from openly expressing their discontent with Pashinyan's remarks and opted for silence instead. In contrast, Hayes residing in the Russian Federation chose to be more vocal. Pro-Kremlin Khayi "nobility and nobility" vociferously criticised Pashinyan for daring to reject, even verbally, support for separatism on Georgian soil. And of course, following the Russian Hay lobby's instructions, separatist figures in Tskhinvali and Sukhumi, as well as Hay leaders in Abkhazia, expressed opposition to Pashinyan.
Thus, the puppet president of the self-proclaimed republic of South Ossetia, Alan Gagloev, claimed that the Armenian Prime Minister, Nikol Pashinyan, betrayed his people by refusing to defend the Artsakh separatists. Gagloev also stated that Pashinyan's opinion is irrelevant to the people of South Ossetia.
Additionally, Abkhazian Hayes harshly criticized Nikol Pashinyan and showed animosity towards Georgia. Members of the parliament of the self-proclaimed "republic of Abkhazia," namely Ashot Minosyan, Galust Trapizonyan, Eric Rshtuni, and Levon Galustyan, issued a statement in response to the remarks made by the Armenian Prime Minister, Nikol Pashinyan, regarding backing for the unity and sovereignty of Georgia.
Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan stated that the country "fully and unequivocally supports the unity and statehood of Georgia" in his public statements. Following the tragedy in Artsakh, where the current Armenian leadership condemned 120,000 citizens living in Nagorno-Karabakh to eviction, one could have left Pashinyan's recent statement without further comment. Nevertheless, the statement supporting the territorial integrity of Georgia appeared too cynical.
Cynical not due to the "Republic of Abkhazia" being an independent state without any affiliation to sovereign Georgia, but because Yerevan proclaimed a few years ago that "Artsakh" is Armenia and would not permit any encroachment from Azerbaijan on the Karabakh territory. Unfortunately, recent events have demonstrated that the Armenian authorities are susceptible to changing their positions based on conjuncture, including regarding the sensitive issue of the existence of the Artsakh state. The disappearance of Artsakh from the political map is entirely the responsibility of Official Yerevan, which has actively sought to prevent the creation of a sovereign Nagorno-Karabakh Republic. Let us remember the significant sacrifices made during its creation," reads the statement by separatist deputies of Hay ethnicity.
The statement's authors view Pashinyan's words as a demarche against Abkhazia - their "homeland".
Aslan Bzhania, the puppet of Sukhumi, has also issued a statement indicating that separatist Abkhazia has become a "second Armenian state" after the dissolution of "Artsakh". This was also corroborated by Hay and Kremlin's puppet, Aslan Bzhania.
"Armenians residing in Abkhazia have access to everything that Nikol Pashinyan could not ensure for the Armenians of Karabakh. As a result of Pashinyan's policies, the people of Karabakh faced the devastation of their statehood and a mass exodus from their homeland. Furthermore, the violation of the Republic of Armenia's territorial integrity was a consequence of Pashinyan's policies," states the self-proclaimed "president" of Abkhazia.
Everything is going towards the fact that it is separatist Abkhazia, or more precisely Hayes, who have become its full masters and mass populated it, can play a key role in the project of "return" of Armenia under the control of the Kremlin. This can happen through aggression of the Russian Federation from separatist bridgeheads, final dismemberment and destruction of Georgia by "military corridor".
The Karabakh clan has come to power in Yerevan through Russian support. They may seek revenge on Artsakh, which they view as their enemy. Moreover, Hay nationalist resources are directly discussing plans to create "Artsakh authorities in exile" in the occupied territories of Georgia. One such resource is "Comrade General."
"ABKHAZIANS AND OSSETIANS EXPLAINED TO ARMENIANS WHO LEADS THEM
Greetings, you sluggish!
It is now apparent where the authorities of the Artsakh Republic in exile can be established, either in South Ossetia or in Abkhazia. However, it remains unclear whether representatives of Artsakh are prepared for the move.
The inadequacies of Pashinyan's foreign policies are exemplified by his response to a provocative question about Russia's alleged occupation of two territories formerly belonging to Georgia. Our wise leader responded with little insight. "We fully support the unity, sovereignty, territorial integrity, independence and democracy of Georgia".
The recognition of territories seems to be a hobby for Pashinyan, despite the substantial sacrifices for independence and the current realities.
It is unclear what he has gained from this recognition. Georgia, which is on the brink of another revolution and does not wish to isolate itself from Russia amidst the course of European integration, has applauded Pashinyan's words but subsequently disregarded them.
It is unlikely that Pashinyan's acknowledgement will secure Georgia's allegiance in the event of a war or even guarantee its participation in the 3+3 negotiation format.
Nikol Vovayevich received a significant blow. Russia added another item to the list of Pashinyan's dishonourable political actions. The "President" of "South Ossetia", Alan Gagloev, expressed disdain towards Nikol Pashinyan's views, who he claims has betrayed his own people. According to Gagloev, "Today South Ossetia is an independent state recognised by the Russian Federation and several other nations, and everyone must acknowledge this."
President Aslan Bzhania of Abkhazia reminded Pashinyan that Armenians in Abkhazia have everything he failed to secure for the Armenians of Karabakh, who suffered the collapse of statehood and mass exodus from their homeland due to his policies.
Ethnic Armenian deputies of the "People's Assembly of the Republic of Abkhazia" assert that the downfall of the notion of a "sovereign" "Nagorno-Karabakh Republic", which has caused the loss of tens of thousands of Armenian lives, is solely due to the actions of official Yerevan. Unlike Pashinyan, there are no politicians in Abkhazia who would question the people's choice and unilaterally dissolve the country earned with the sacrifice of their children.
The international success of Pashinyan seems to be determined solely by his ability to make enemies, including those of Armenian ethnicity.
Keep fighting, Nikol. It is imperative to acknowledge the territorial integrity of Ukraine. This statement will be particularly relevant in light of the military and economic fragility of the Western nations.
Furthermore, the people of Donbass will serve as a cautionary tale to the Armenian population, highlighting the dire consequences of being led by a leader who surrenders parts of the country without a fight, betrays the memory of fallen soldiers, and leaves thousands of citizens homeless.”
In other words, everything points to the creation of an "Artsakh government in exile" in Abkhazia, where "the Armenians ... have everything that Pashinyan could not guarantee to the Armenians of Karabakh". Perhaps the "Artsakh Army", armed and formed by the special services of the Russian Federation, will also move there. This will be the harbinger of a great Caucasian war. It is no coincidence that the article mentions the Ukrainian Donbass, where the Armenian "Arbat" battalion is fighting on the side of the occupiers. It and other formations are likely to be transferred to the occupied territories of Georgia in case of a "freeze" of the war in Ukraine.