Today young Abkhazians and Ossetians of the Tskhinvali region have a choice: either reconciliation with the brotherly Georgian people and quiet life and development in a single state, or destruction in the "meat grinder" of the Ukrainian war. At that the Russian government will chase the separatist "allies" into this massacre without any sentiment and flirtation. But rudely, with foul language and humiliation.

Such example of treatment of so-called Mobiks (mobilized military personnel) was recently given by the separatist ex-president of so-called South Ossetia Anatoly Bibilov. A video of him using foul language and calling the mobilised soldiers who do not want to go to their deaths "cowards" has been posted on the web, and it appears that he "trains" to send his fellow Ossetians to their deaths in the same way:

We should remind that soldiers are driven to slaughter by Bibilov who in the past year, while still a so-called "president" of so-called South Ossetia issued a "decree" on so-called "referendum" on joining of Tskhivali region to Russia.

 If a referendum had been held, now Bibilov would have been chasing Ossetians to the slaughter with humiliation and foul language. But since last year the Kremlin "put the brakes" on annexation of Tskhinvali region and Abkhazia (which, in principle, is almost inevitable under the current Kremlin regime) Bibilov has to "train" with mobilized from other regions of Russia.

The Ukrainian war has already sent massive numbers of both Ossetians and Abkhazians. And there have been huge losses among them, especially in the separatist unit "pyatnashka" headed by Akhra Avidzba. Yet this is only the beginning.

On April 11, 2023 the Russian State Duma passed a law according to which all citizens liable for military service (and Abkhazians and Ossetians as citizens of the Russian Federation also belong to this category) may receive summonses "electronically" through the register of summonses. Those who then refuse to go to war will face loss of rights, including a ban on crossing the border, a ban on driving and most importantly, a ban on disposal of property, including housing.

The scheme is simple: a summons is issued, and even if it has not been served directly to the person liable for military service (including via State Services), he will still be included in the register of summonses. After 7 days it is considered that the person liable for military service has received it. It does not matter where he is - in Russia or in "independent" Abkhazia or so-called South Ossetia. Failure to show up at a gathering point and further to the Ukrainian front, the case goes to court and the court can seize housing from the "evader" and his family.

Apparently, in the very near future a new wave of mobilization will be announced in Russia, and a large part of conscription-age Ossetians and Abkhazians, who, we should remind you, all have Russian citizenship, can be "swept away". And "getting away" from mobilization will not be possible. Recently, the authorities of the separatist Abkhazia signed an agreement with Russia on mutual recognition of court decisions. And if a "freedom-loving" Abkhazian fails to appear in Ukraine as per summons, his family can simply be deprived of housing by a Russian court decision. If he appears, people like Bibilov will drive him to certain death.

Such prospects are logical given the situation on the front. Huge losses were sustained by the occupants during the Ukrainian counter-offensives last year near Kiev, Chernihiv, Kharkov and Kherson. All of Russia's offensives in Ukraine have collapsed.  The Russian military leadership practised so-called "butcher assaults", throwing untrained and poorly armed mobilised men into well fortified Ukrainian positions.

Consequently, the occupiers lost thousands of soldiers, sometimes not advancing a kilometre at all. The Ukrainian town of Avdeevka, which the aggressors have been unsuccessfully storming for more than a year, is strewn with the corpses of mobilists. The Russian offensive on Ugledar ended in complete defeat. In the small town of Bakhmut, the Russian troops are only slowly advancing thanks to the fact that Ukrainian positions are literally "pelted with corpses" by former convicts recruited by the Wagner PMCs.

Meanwhile, new Ukrainian counter-offensives are expected in spring-summer 2023 and the aggressors urgently need new "cannon fodder" to "plug the gaps" in the stretched front. There are less and less people willing to volunteer to go to Ukraine to be killed and to return crippled. Therefore, mass mobilization of Abkhazia and so-called South Ossetia from the separatist entities in the territories occupied by Russia from Georgia is also a done deal.

Former puppet "president" Bibilov by humiliating Russian "mobilists" and forcing them to go to absolutely senseless offensive against Ukrainian positions is trying for a reason. He understands very well that his Kremlin "masters" will very soon need similarly rude "corners" for those same Tskhivan Ossetians.

Bibilov hopes that the Kremlin "bosses" will appreciate his zeal and efforts to send "cannon fodder" to their certain death and for this he will be again made a Kremlin protégé in Tskhinvali. So that he can also drive his countrymen to their certain deaths.

There are similar "defenders of the interests of the Russian Empire" among Abkhazians as well (which generally looks absurd, if we remember the genocide that Russia carried out against Abkhazians in the 19th century). Some of them have already accused the puppet Aslan Bzhania of "not paying attention to training of Abkhazian military", as well as of being in no hurry to "fulfill allied duty" towards Russia.

Those who have their eyes on the Abkhazian land are all the more interested in the fact that as many Abkhazians as possible went to war in Ukraine and as few as possible returned from there. Thus, in case of continuation of the occupation of Abkhazia and the Tskhinvali region Abkhazians and Ossetians will face a real loss of youth in the form of mass mobilization and sending them to fight in Ukraine.

George Mazniashvili